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The Iranian Miscalculation – Part Deux
Posted on April 15th, 2007 No commentsWell, it ended peacefully, with the British captives back home, signing book, television and (I’m sure) movie deals. And it’s quiet.Too quiet?
The silence could mean one of two things. 1 – That the Iranians see it all as victory in which they did a naughty in front of the former colonial power, and then rubbed their noses in it.
Or 2 – That they made a huge mistake, and got involved in something they didn’t really understand or could control Who does THAT sound like?
I tend to believe the latter is the true nature of things. I think the current Iranian silence, broken by the announcement (which many western experts think is hogwash) that they are refining uranium at industrial levels. The world watched the whole hostage drama unfold with a collective expression similar to when one smells something bad or when the boss gets so enormously hammered at the office Christmas party that he starts really making a fool of himself. I really don’t see any way the Iranians won. When the British sailors and marines returned to the UK, they had stories of solitary confinement, rough interrogations and even the hint of mock executions. Their refutation of the charges were the diplomatic version of "did NOT."
And then the silence.
A big and still powerful nation like the United Kingdom won’t quickly forget the humiliation the Iranians tried to inflict on them. The Americans, with ties of heritage and an attitude toward the Iranians that is confirmed by something like this, will be more than ready to participate in payback.
I think it was a stupid, stupid error in judgement on the part of the Iranians to do this thing.
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