Speaking to promote her new book The End of America: A Letter of Warning to a Young Patriot, Naomi Wolf makes a compelling argument that what the U.S. is currently seeing with the Bush administration is right in line with what happens when a democracy falls to dictatorship. She makes some good points, but hits a bit of a pothole when she makes a quick reference to Hillary Clinton reversing all of the illegal surveillance when she’s President (!). I have a hard time understanding how someone who understands that there’s a dangerous cabal running our government, could miss the fact that Hillary Clinton’s smack dab in the middle of it. She’s a danger, not a solution.
Ron Paul (who Wolf does mention as the sole Republican who has signed on to the “return to the Constitution” pledge) is the solution to the problem.
Are we nuts? An already nuclear nation is having to put troops in the streets to hold back its Islamic foes from taking the country over, and the biggest bank in the world is starting to show signs of terrible financial problems, yet we’re actually concerned with neat new ways to connect with friends on MySpace and Facebook.
As we remember the day 6 years ago that changed many things about the way Americans live their lives, a new video from Osama bin Laden is released, praising one of the 19 hijackers who killed thousands of innocent people. No bombs, dirty or otherwise, no airliners flying into buildings, no event that again "changes everything." But the day is still young.
There’s another possible reason. Could al Qaeda be the paper tiger? I mean, really, if a teenage heavy metal fan can rise in the ranks to be important, as Adam Gadahn (the purported author of Osama’s recent video), how credible can the organization be? In the war against al Qaeda and insurgency in Iraq, we tend to forget that the hijackers were overwhelmingly citizens of Saudi Arabia, yet there’s nothing but love between our government and that one. Could it be that al Qaeda is just "something shiny" to divert attention from the Saudi origins of 9/11?
I’ve asked this question before: If 19 men, mostly Americans, flew planes into buildings in the Middle East, killing thousands, would Americans be able to travel anywhere in the Middle East? Of course not, even if the perpetrators of such an even were identified as extremist fundamental Christians and were shunned by the American public, the U.S. would suffer greatly.
There’s plenty for the wary to watch this week. Much anxiety circulating on the net regarding:
The new video from Osama bin Laden
Wall Street sell-off on Friday thanks to bad labor statistics
Nukes hitchhiking across the country
9/11 anniversary on Tuesday
Interesting "put" options that suggest someone may think (or know) that a catastrophic economic event is about to occur
I don’t think I’m wrong when I say that this week has more negative portends than any week in a long, long time, so a quick analysis of each of them follows.
New bin Laden video
It’s not the first time we’ve seen OBL since 9/11/2001, but it’s the first time we’ve seen him with a dyed, trimmed beard. What’s the significance of that? According to this study of Islamic thought regarding the trimming of beards…Hard to say. It’s amazing that Western Civilization is locked in a battle to the death with people who feel the need to argue and write extensively about trimming facial hair. There’s also some concern that September 11th is on Tuesday this year, as it was in 2001.
Wall Street
For the past several weeks, it’s been the sub-prime mortgage meltdown making headlines. Now Countrywide says it’s laying off as many as 12,000 workers. The problem is deepening, and will continue to accelerate, since the housing industry is enormously important to the strength of the U.S. economy, even if the Fed doesn’t see it (or doesn’t want to panic us). Housing drives the economy. It provides jobs, that provide disposable income that allows people to buy things. The appreciation of real estate "values" has created money through home equity loans that bought millions of flat-screen HD tvs. Well, that equity is drying up, and so will the tv sales (and the auto sales, computer sales, vacation spending and in many cases, consumer debt servicing). It’s a bad scene.
Hitchhiking nukes
Six nuclear warheads flew on the missile pylons of a B-52 bomber last week, in clear violation of Air Force rules governing the transportation of atomic weapons. How in the world could this kind of "mistake" happen? Was it a mistake, or were the weapons flown, rather than trucked from Minot, ND to Barksdale AFB in Lousiana to meet a deadline? There’s buzz (also known as "informed speculation) that since Barksdale is a staging base for Midlle East deployments, the weapons were on their way to be launched against Iran, but some dissident military assets blew the whistle. Some say it was all a stunt intended to send a message to the Iranian government that we’re not messing around. There are even those who say the nukes are to be used on us. Any way you look at it, it’s a dangerous situation.
9/11 Anniversary
Tuesday marks the 6th anniversary of the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon by someone hostile to the American people. Whether you believe it was, in fact, 19 Islamic extremists or some sinister cabal who want you to think it was the work of Osama bin Laden, the fact remains, not only is Tuesday the anniversary of those horrific events, but September 11th was also a Tuesday. Some who see conspiracy everywhere are pointing to such a coincidence. Hard to say whether the kind of people who would commit such acts care about that or not, but it’s still worth noting. The human mind and eye constantly searches for familiar patterns, and throughout the history of our species, such patterns reappear time and time again.
A lot of the doom and gloom sites are in a bit of a tizzy over this possibility. It’s seemingly a perfect storm of worry that something wicked’s coming this way, fast.
Just in from the predictive linguistics team at www.halfpasthuman.com:
"Igor here.
Clif has worked all day yesterday and all last night. And was back at it at 4 this morning when I checked in. We have a large data bubble of datas which are showing up for Sunday, 9-2.
Clif says that he will have part 1 posted by Saturday afternoon at the latest since so much of the data says that Sunday and Monday will be very nasty here in US.
He probably ain’t wrong about this one. And I think that he is probably right about the 19th too. But anyway part 1 by late Saturday.
Everybody guard your pies. Igor out. "
No, I have no idea what the bubble is that is showing up in the ‘time scanning’ technology, but something ‘out of the blue’ Sunday/Monday seems to be coming…
Though George, the writer/editor of Urban Survival (channeling his buddies the "Time Monks" of the website Halfpasthuman.com) often gets worked up in his wise, calm way, about coming challenges, I’ve yet to see him this specific and predictive about disastrous events.
The last one’s interesting. I don’t believe for a minute that there’s a female former-Marine-now-Navy LSO stationed on a supercarrier and acting as a liason for Marines stationed on the ship. Too much detail. If there is such a person, she’s undoubtedly in the brig right now regretting talking about this stuff.
I do believe, however, that the information may well be legitimate, it’s source well hidden behind the female LSO it’s attributed to.
So, as Sunday, September 2 unfolds, we watch and wait. As we will through tomorrow’s Labor Day pause.
Whether or not something happens this holiday weekend, there is the specter of the Iran showdown looming on the horizon. Many observers believe that the period after Labor Day is the time the White House uses to beat war drums and create the necessary climate for war. It happened that way in Gulf War 1, 2 and you should expect it this Fall. Google News search for the News/PR push for war with Iran.
***Update – September 3, 12:01pm – Kos from The Daily Kos has pulled the LSO story. Found out it was a hoax. No surprise, given the above. Doesn’t mean the basic message isn’t accurate, though.
So far, over $500 million in so-called put options have been purchased betting that the benchmark Standard and Poor’s 500 index will tumble anywhere from 5% to 11% in September. Some investors are even buying put options calling for 52% decline. A "put" option increases in value as the underlying stock or index falls.
To put it in perspective, a 5% drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average would be the equivalent of 667 points. An 11% decline would equal 1,468 points. And a 52% drop? You don’t even want to know.
We’ve got this intelligence threat; we’re pretty certain we know what’s going on. We don’t have all the tactical details about it, [but] in some ways it’s not unlike the U.K. aviation threat last year. So we know there is a threat out there.
Looks like an "interesting" autumn coming (note refusal to use the word "fall").
There are no spy thrillers being written today better than those by Daniel Silva. His latest, The Secret Servant is a fast-paced, brutal and entertaining ride into the world of al-Qaeda, as it exists today. His protagonist, art restorer and Israeli secret agent Gabriel Allon, is working to release the kidnapped daughter of the American Ambassador to the UK. As usual, there are breath-taking chases, puzzles to figure out, and a couple of very satisfying uses of excessive force that Allon is known to employ when required. But aside from the action, the message is a dark one. Militant Islam isn’t just coming. It’s here, and it wants to take over. Silva’s previous Gabriel Allon book The Messenger, deals with a Saudi plot against the Pope. In an interview on his official website, Daniel Silva talks about the realization many people in the West are finally coming around to, that Saudi Arabia is not our friend.
The Saudis are, quite simply, the perfect villains. They have a seemingly endless supply of money and hold the economic security of not only this country but the entire world in the palm of their hand. They have been described as one of our closest allies in the Middle East, yet at various times throughout their history, they have behaved more like enemies than friends. I also believe that Saudi Arabia bears a large responsibility for what happened to this country on 9/11 and have never truly been held accountant. The 9/11 Commission described them as "a problematic ally in the war against terrorism," a stunning example of understatement. They are, to a large degree, the ideologues and financiers of global Islamic extremism. Indeed, I believe one can argue it was the House of Saud that started the fire of the global jihad movement in the first place. The Messenger gave me an opportunity to explore some of those themes.
And…
Q: Without giving too much away of the plot, The Messenger deals with a terrorist conspiracy to attack the Vatican-a conspiracy financed and enabled by a Saudi billionaire and a former Saudi intelligence officer. All of your work has some foundation in fact. I assume this one does, too.
A: It does, indeed. In fact, the plot of The Messenger was inspired to a large degree by a report produced by German intelligence in 2004. They found that a pair of Saudi companies-one of them was a hundred-million-dollar-a-year holding company-were essentially front companies for the Saudi intelligence service, and that these companies had substantial ties to al-Qaeda cells operating in Germany and Indonesia. The report made me think. What if the holding company was owned and operated by a globe-trotting billionaire with close ties to Washington elite? What if he was using his company and his businesses to move men and materiel around the globe? What if a terrorist mastermind was hidden somewhere within his empire? It didn’t take long before I had a frighteningly plausible scenario.
Silva’s work is remarkable and immensely entertaining, but with the clear bell of truth that as you read, is constantly ringing. Link to the interview with Daniel Silva.
As if we ever HAD Iraq. This story is one of imperial stupidity. Is it truly possible that the Iraqis have lost track of 190,000 guns we gave them? Is it possible that our own troops are being shot at with guns we manufactured and transported into the country? Could this whole situation be any more screwed up?
It makes one wonder, doesn’t it?
It makes one wonder whether, despite the best intentions of the people of this country (if not its leaders), the Iraqi government simply isn’t worth the continued American toll. It makes one wonder whether everyone would have been better off to simply explode a few high altitude Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) weapons and put Saddam’s government and military in the 19th century, letting the people of Iraq sort their problems out themselves. But, of course, it’s too late for that.