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	<title>What Comes Next? &#187; Economy</title>
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	<description>A Blog About the Future</description>
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		<title>Big Mistake&#8230;BIG Mistake</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2009/03/big-mistakebig-mistake/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2009/03/big-mistakebig-mistake/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2009 14:58:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milton Friedman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rush Libaugh]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=430</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[President Obama has made what historians may well cite as the misjudgement that brought down his promising, young administration&#8217;s chances for any kind of success and a second term. He identified Rush Limbaugh as his enemy. Big mistake. It&#8217;s assumed that Raum Emmanuel came up with this strategy, and sadly, it shows just how out [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://img.skitch.com/20090308-jixnkiem6pd6xksdm3w58cgqe9.jpg" align="right" border="1" />President Obama has made what historians may well cite as the misjudgement that brought down his promising, young administration&#8217;s chances for any kind of success and a second term.</p>
<p>He identified Rush Limbaugh as his enemy.</p>
<p>Big mistake.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s assumed that Raum Emmanuel came up with this strategy, and sadly, it shows just how out of touch the people running the White House are.</p>
<p>We are falling headlong into probably the greatest financial catastrophe in the history of our nation. Forget the Great Depression, that event will eclipsed by what we&#8217;re entering now. This is bigger. President Barack Hussein Obama didn&#8217;t have any more to do with creating this mess than did any other member of the Senate or House. But he did raise his hand and promise himself into the leadership of our Republic. There are questions whether there will be another President after him, presiding over a 50 state Union. There are serious questions being talked about that question exactly how bad things will have to be for him to declare Martial Law and suspend the Constitution of the United States. There are men and women who could be a sufficiently respected President to pull that one off. For reasons that are completely unfair but real nonetheless, he is not one of them.</p>
<p>The White House, in setting Rush up as the head of the resistance, Obama and Emmanuel have annointed an opposition leader with real teeth.</p>
<p>Again, big mistake.</p>
<p>Conservatives are indeed divided. There are the Republicans, who true conservatives are not terribly happy with. The Republican Party is the party that put John McCaine and Sarah Palin on the ticket last November. True conservatives gritted their teeth, held their noses and voted against Obama. The Republican Party is the party that has marginalized Ron Paul, the only vocal member of the party who gets it. The numbers of people in the United States who are infuriated that Dr. Paul&#8217;s message is being ignored are big. McCaine was an attempt to get the &#8220;moderate&#8221; Republicans on board after the difficult Bush years.</p>
<p>The Conservatives, who outnumber Liberals in the U.S. are divided, without a standard bearer. Or, they were, until the White House&#8217;s new residents created one for us.</p>
<p>Rush Limbaugh.</p>
<p>I became a fan of Rush in 1988 when his national show began to take off. I&#8217;m a conservative voice on the radio myself, a broadcaster since the early 80s. Right now, I keep my writing and my broadcasting on different &#8220;channels,&#8221; writing under my real name, broadcasting under the name I&#8217;ve used in the industry for going on 30 years. I&#8217;m an Economist, who has been devoted to the philophies of Milton Friedman since first reading <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0156334607?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=whatcomesnext01-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=390957&#038;creativeASIN=0156334607"><em>Free to Choose</em></a> while in college. During the Bush years, I drifted from Rush, not happy with his position as a party &#8220;hack&#8221; who worked hard to sell Bush&#8217;s mistakes to us. I questioned my Conservatism, and as someone who respects and admires Al Gore, regretted my 2000 vote for Bush.</p>
<p>But, seeing the realities of Liberal American Socialism born under the guise of &#8220;Change,&#8221; I have snapped back to my Conservative roots, quickly rallying with a growing multitude under the Limbaugh standard. The White House has miscalculated, and sent everyone a map and directions to that rally point. If they thought the name &#8220;Rush Limbaugh&#8221; was one that would repel true conservatives from a central meeting point, they were wrong. Conservatives will find a Rush-led Conservative movement a very compelling place to be, and as the economy worsens, unemployment soars, and more and more of Obama&#8217;s promises are broken, the White House will see just what a monster they&#8217;ve created, and just how few true Liberals there are, outside the Beltway.</p>
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		<title>The Answer Has ALWAYS Been In Front of Us</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2009/03/the-answer-has-always-been-in-front-of-us/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2009/03/the-answer-has-always-been-in-front-of-us/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Mar 2009 14:13:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milton Friedman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phil Donohue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=427</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jim Sinclair&#8217;s Mineset reminds us of the great Milton Friedman&#8217;s elegant message. Most people misunderstand Gordon Gekko&#8217;s line in the film Wall Street when he said &#8220;Greed is good.&#8221; The slick, suspendered Gekko made it seem like an evil statement, but Friendman points out that humans don&#8217;t reward virtue, they do things for self-interest. As [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a title="Jim Sinclair's Mineset" href="http://jsmineset.com" target="_blank">Jim Sinclair&#8217;s Mineset</a> reminds us of the great Milton Friedman&#8217;s elegant message.</p>
<p><object width="425" height="344" data="http://www.youtube.com/v/76frHHpoNFs&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/76frHHpoNFs&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en&amp;feature=player_embedded&amp;fs=1" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /></object></p>
<p>Most people misunderstand Gordon Gekko&#8217;s line in the film <em>Wall Street</em> when he said &#8220;Greed is good.&#8221; The slick, suspendered Gekko made it seem like an evil statement, but Friendman points out that humans don&#8217;t reward virtue, they do things for self-interest.</p>
<p>As a young Economics student in the late 70s and early 80s, my interest and belief in the theories of Dr. Friedman were met with scorn by my Keynesian professors.</p>
<p>Well, they were wrong, and their resurgence by the Obama regime will doom millions of us to economic misery, and eventually will sentence millions (if not billions) humans to death by the next World War that is inevitable as our bubble world economy bursts.</p>
<p>Sadly, Donohue hasn&#8217;t <em>begun</em> to see misery in the world, yet.</p>
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		<title>Get Ready for MUCH More of This</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/12/get-ready-for-much-more-of-this/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/12/get-ready-for-much-more-of-this/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Dec 2008 12:35:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Layoff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=387</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Republic Windows and Doors, like a lot of companies around the world, ran out of money, and had to close up shop. Naturally, the (union) workers there are angry, probably even more angry than if they&#8217;d been asked to take pay cuts. So, rather than leave, they&#8217;re occupying the plant, demanding the severance and benefits [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="right" src="http://img.skitch.com/20081208-rit12g2xwkk2gx3q3e9esta4km.jpg" alt="The Associated Press: Obama: Workers staging sit-in 'absolutely right'"/>Republic Windows and Doors, like a lot of companies around the world, ran out of money, and had to close up shop. Naturally, the (union) workers there are angry, probably even more angry than if they&#8217;d been asked to take pay cuts. So, rather than leave, they&#8217;re occupying the plant, demanding the severance and benefits they say they&#8217;ve earned.</p>
<p>President-elect Obama says they are &#8220;absolutely right&#8221; to do this. Interesting choice of words for a President-to-be, who is the chief enforcer of laws in the U.S. They are <em>absolutely right</em> to do this? Does he realize just how many more of these situations he&#8217;s going to face in his single term, especially since he is throwing his support to the movement?</p>
<p><a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5ildwrFjwHYjvJPX2edZgBnNb8EEQD94UFKP80" target=_blank>Here&#8217;s the story</a>. </p>
<p>The most interesting and telling part though, is this:</p>
<blockquote><p>One of the factory&#8217;s workers, Silvia Mazon, said in Spanish that she needs the money owed to her for an $1,800 monthly house payment. The 40-year-old from Cicero said she has enough money saved to survive for one month.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re making history,&#8221; she said.</p></blockquote>
<p>An apparently Spanish-only speaker, working in a factory in Chicago with only a single month&#8217;s savings and <em>her house payment is $1,800?</em></p>
<p>This, is why the work of <a href="http://kunstler.com" target=_blank>James Kunstler</a>, <a href="http://urbansurvival.com" target=_blank>George Ure</a>, <a href="http://financialarmageddon.com" target=_blank>Michael Panzer</a> and others, is so important. This situation is going to get worse. Much worse, and there will be a huge number of people like the unfortunate Ms. Mazon, who were participating in an economic model they thought was never-ending. One where real estate <em>always</em> rose in value, there were always blue collar jobs available, and new cars and plasma tvs grew on trees. Unfortunately, these assumptions were wrong, and those who didn&#8217;t understand that will be hungry, moneyless and angry. </p>
<p><em>Have you thought about what you will do then?</em></p>
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		<title>It Doesn&#8217;t LOOK Like We&#8217;re In a Depression</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/12/it-doesnt-look-like-were-in-a-depression/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/12/it-doesnt-look-like-were-in-a-depression/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2008 12:01:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=373</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of the best posts ever, at Michael Panzer&#8217;s Financial Armageddon, &#8220;Gone, Over, Toast.&#8221; I&#8217;ve noticed recently the same phenomenon, that though all indicators say we&#8217;re in a severe economic meltdown, and entering a &#8220;greater depression,&#8221; life still goes on as before. The lights still work, the trucks still roll and in some cases, Black [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.financialarmageddon.com/2008/11/gone-over-toast.html" target=_blank>One of the best posts ever, at Michael Panzer&#8217;s Financial Armageddon, &#8220;Gone, Over, Toast.&#8221;</a></p>
<p>I&#8217;ve noticed recently the same phenomenon, that though all indicators say we&#8217;re in a severe economic meltdown, and entering a &#8220;greater depression,&#8221; life still goes on as before. The lights still work, the trucks still roll and in <em>some</em> cases, Black Friday was a success.</p>
<p>But, as we noticed last night, restaurants are empty, the airports aren&#8217;t madhouses, and there&#8217;s the palpable sense from those in the know that <em>winter is coming.</em></p>
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		<title>Disturbing On a Number of Levels</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/11/disturbing-on-a-number-of-levels/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/11/disturbing-on-a-number-of-levels/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Nov 2008 13:19:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=367</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This headline bothers me a lot: Wal-Mart worker dies after shoppers knock him down. First of all, it disgusts me that our culture (yes, even the early morning &#8220;Black Friday shopping at Wal-Mart&#8221; culture is our culture) has fallen into consumerism so deeply that we become animals for a sale on plastic imported-from-China crap. It&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This headline bothers me a lot:</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081129/ap_on_re_us/wal_mart_death_13" target=_blank>Wal-Mart worker dies after shoppers knock him down</a></strong>.</p>
<p><img src="http://img.skitch.com/20081129-rt2ddrn9dwcjjec68jykkcp3mu.jpg" alt="610x.jpg (JPEG Image, 610x478 pixels)" class="right"/>First of all, it disgusts me that our culture (yes, even the early morning &#8220;Black Friday shopping at Wal-Mart&#8221; culture is <em>our</em> culture) has fallen into consumerism so deeply that we become animals for a sale on plastic imported-from-China crap. It&#8217;s disgusting. There was a crush of people who were so out of individual control that they killed another person to gain first access to what they wanted. If they were hungry people, it would be a tragedy, but <em>somewhat</em> understandable. But they weren&#8217;t hungry. In fact based on my limited experience shopping at Wal-Mart, I would assume they were very well, and probably <em>over</em>-fed. This was a riot. Not a <em>food</em> riot, but a plastic, disposable, consumer-good riot.</p>
<p>Even though the first point is sufficient for this post, the more sinister second point is that because we&#8217;re (mostly) raional-acting beings, and because Wal-Mart is known for the lowest price-point on plastic crap from China, these people were rioting because they saw getting to that store&#8217;s supply of plastic crap from China as the only way to sustain their expectation of Christmas in a crashing economy. In other words, rather than attack the root of the problem by being disciplined this year and not spending money on crap, they&#8217;re doing whatever they can to maintain the very behaviors that got us in this mess &#8211; excessive consumerism.</p>
<p>This is <em>exactly</em> the same as burning food and ruining topsoil to maintain what <a href="http://kunstler.com/" target=_blank>Kunstler</a> calls our &#8220;happy motoring society.&#8221; We grow corn (food) to make ethanol, in an effort to extend the life of the unsustainable auto-centric society, instead of banking the food and taking better care of the topsoil.</p>
<p>This is going to sound strange, but apart from any security responsibilities they may have dropped the ball on, I don&#8217;t blame Wal-Mart. They&#8217;re simply participating in the market and doing what they should do. I blame the culture we&#8217;ve created, the culture that will be our undoing. If we are to survive as a nation, we have to <em>stop</em> making <em>shopping</em> our national pastime, and start <em>making things worth repairing, saving and working harder.</em> We&#8217;re past the point of preserving our way of life, that&#8217;s a societal evolutionary dead-end.</p>
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		<title>Peter Schiff Was Right</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/11/peter-schiff-was-right/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/11/peter-schiff-was-right/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2008 12:59:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peak Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Schiff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=357</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The title of this post says it all. If you&#8217;ve paid any attention to the media coverage at all, you&#8217;re familiar with Euro Pacific Capital President Peter Schiff. He was the main punching bag for those who liked to scoff at analysts and money experts calling for recession or worse the past couple years. Schiff [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The title of this post says it all. If you&#8217;ve paid any attention to the media coverage at all, you&#8217;re familiar with Euro Pacific Capital President Peter Schiff. He was the main punching bag for those who liked to scoff at analysts and money experts calling for recession or worse the past couple years. Schiff took punch after punch from fools like Ben Stein, Art Laffer and Mike Norman when put up against him on arguing-head shows on cable.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a compilation of some of those appearances. Note the amount of scorn heaped on Schiff as he accurately called what was coming. The laughing at Schiff&#8217;s on-target message is a sad commentary on the skills of the pundits that populate the mediasphere.</p>
<p><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/2I0QN-FYkpw&#038;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&#038;hl=en&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/2I0QN-FYkpw&#038;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&#038;hl=en&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object></p>
<p>If you go to blogs written by some of these nay-sayers, you&#8217;ll be entertained by their responses to readers calling them out on being completely wrong. They get very technical and petty (&#8220;keep drinking Schiff&#8217;s Koolaid&#8221; as Norman tells one reader).</p>
<p>I think I will. It may not be the tastiest, but it&#8217;s sure a lot more nutritious than whatever you&#8217;re pouring, Mike. My suggestion is make sure you&#8217;ve read everything Peter Schiff has written, and lose the bookmarks for the sites written by those who laughed at him.</p>
<p><em>Schiff was right.</em></p>
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		<title>President Obama</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/11/president-obama/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/11/president-obama/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Nov 2008 12:33:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=341</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As expected, Barack Hussein Obama was elected the 44th President of the United States on Tuesday. His supporters are jubilant, his opponents bitter. I understand both emotions, but both are pointless. To those who voted against Obama: Get over it. I&#8217;m one of you, as once again, I had to hold my nose and cast [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="right" src="http://img.skitch.com/20081107-b1j3awh2tncwdtaymhabd6bsai.jpg" alt="obama victory - Google Image Search"/>As expected, Barack Hussein Obama was elected the 44th President of the United States on Tuesday. His supporters are jubilant, his opponents bitter. I understand both emotions, but both are pointless.</p>
<p><strong>To those who voted against Obama:</strong></p>
<p><em>Get over it</em>. I&#8217;m one of you, as once again, I had to hold my nose and cast my ballot. Four years ago, it was for John Kerry, who I didn&#8217;t agree with politically, but knew we needed to change course for both geopolitical and economic reasons. I was right. It&#8217;s all the more frustrating for me and those who believe as I do, because this year, we had Ron Paul, until the Media and Republican Party marginalized Dr. Paul, the only candidate who showed he knew &#8220;his fanny from first base&#8221; as my father would say. </p>
<p>I understand if you want to bolt for the exits, I&#8217;m considering how best to do the same thing, but it has nothing to do with our pick for President. It&#8217;s economic, and there&#8217;s very little that President Obama will be able to do about it, except make it worse, and create for us a longer period of suffering. That, I fully expect. To those <em>rabid</em> opponents, you <em>definitely</em> need to get over it. </p>
<p>By all means, do what you can to get <a href="http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&#038;pageId=79900" target=_blank>his birth certificate and make sure he hasn&#8217;t knowingly misrepresented his constitutional qualifications to be President</a>, but I do <em>not</em> believe he is <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSTRE4A57ZC20081106" target=_blank>Muslim</a>, a foreign agent or the Anti-Christ. At the worst, I believe he is an aggressive, ambitious politician, and I don&#8217;t mean that as a compliment. When he talks, assume what he says about &#8220;service&#8221; is more &#8220;acquistion of power.&#8221; I believe his lack of a track record (all those &#8220;present&#8221; votes) were more about his using his office not to serve his constituents, but instead his political ambitions, than it was about his being a mysterious servant of Islamic terrorists, a new Socialist/Communist/Fascist &#8220;strongman&#8221; or anything else the breathless conspiracy theorists hint at. Again, Republicans, <em>get over it and start rebuilding the Party. </em></p>
<p><strong>To those who voted <em>for</em> Obama:</strong></p>
<p><em>Calm down. </em></p>
<p>Smoke a cigarette (even if you&#8217;re a non-smoker). He&#8217;s not the messiah. The world is not going to magically change on January 19th, and the higher and more you euphorically embellish just how <em>awesome</em> life will be when the Bush family moves out of the White House, the quicker and more massive the backlash will be when you realize you will still have to get up in the morning, go to work, do what your boss says, pay your bills and worry about pretty much the same things you had to worry about before. I especially pity the person, and there will be <em>many</em> of them, who focused their life over the past year, on getting Obama elected, but will find themself getting laid off next week, next month, or early in January. That story will be told many, many times. </p>
<p>George W. Bush didn&#8217;t, by any stretch of the imagination, <em>help</em> the economic situation we&#8217;re in. But he didn&#8217;t <em>create</em> it, either. No one person did. The biggest share of the blame goes to a Congress who, not understanding the economics of what was happening, did nothing to rein in those who were playing fast and loose with the rules to take incredibly dangerous long-term risks (to all of our financial futures) in the hopes of fabulous short-term profits. I have to admit a little pity for Obama, too. Why he and McCain wanted this job is beyond me. </p>
<p>For the President-Elect, life is going to be difficult when his supporters, no longer united by a common enemy (the Republican Party), will look at each other and realize that what they all had in common was the desire for change. But, they will soon find out that they all have <em>very</em> different ideas about what that change should look like. At that point, they won&#8217;t be united anymore.</p>
<p><strong>Where we go from here.</strong></p>
<p>I agree with Obama when he says we need to come together to fix the problems our nation faces. But, I must admit, when he talks about us <em>always</em> being the &#8220;United States of America,&#8221; I had to wonder, <em>really?</em>. The developing economic problems we&#8217;re facing here will do more separating than bringing together. I hope our Republic can survive it.</p>
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		<title>Housing &#8211; Madness, Denial and Regrets</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/10/housing-madness-denial-and-regrets/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/10/housing-madness-denial-and-regrets/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2008 15:02:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=339</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Madness &#8211; US Confidence Plunges to a Record Low. Consumers aren&#8217;t confident about the future. What, they are surprised that real estate prices can&#8217;t rise forever? They&#8217;re surprised that interest rates on their adjustable-rate mortgage went up? Where have they been? What were they thinking? Madness of the crowd convinced them that there is no [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="right" src="http://img.skitch.com/20081028-bmqxdpki1e86xg8ck8tcpnhcm3.jpg" alt="US Home Prices Plunge Record 16.6% in August - Real Estate * US * News * Story - CNBC.com"/><strong>Madness</strong> &#8211; <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/27418172" target=_blank>US Confidence Plunges to a Record Low</a>. Consumers aren&#8217;t confident about the future. What, they are surprised that real estate prices can&#8217;t rise forever? They&#8217;re surprised that interest rates on their adjustable-rate mortgage went up? Where have they been? What were they thinking? Madness of the crowd convinced them that there is no history worth reading.</p>
<p><strong>Denial</strong> &#8211; <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/27416961" target=_blank>No matter how bad things look</a>, there&#8217;s always a bright spot. As in the article linked above&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>S&#038;P noted one bright spot as the acceleration in decline was only moderate in August from July.</p></blockquote>
<p><em>Amazing</em>.</p>
<p><strong>Regrets</strong> &#8211; I regret that I bought the home in which I currently reside, purchased before things got ridiculous, instead of one way over what I could afford, because it looks like people who signed up for <a href="http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=liar%27s%20loan" target=_blank>liar&#8217;s loans</a> <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/27418473" target=_blank>may well get bailed out and be allowed to stay in the homes they couldn&#8217;t afford</a>. If that happens, how will you feel about paying part of that mortgage payment? That&#8217;s what you&#8217;ll be doing.</p>
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		<title>The Wheels are Starting to Come Off</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/10/the-wheels-are-starting-to-come-off/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/10/the-wheels-are-starting-to-come-off/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Oct 2008 12:46:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=335</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In truth, if you&#8217;ve been reading this blog, and the websites and books recommended here, you know this whole thing started years ago, lug-nuts beginning to loosen and slowly rotate without any change being noted by the vast majority of Americans. But, it&#8217;s hard to ignore the problem now. The credit crisis has flared and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="right" src="http://img.skitch.com/20081024-quhciis2kkxeghjbq274m3fa4g.jpg" alt="Stock Market News, Business News, Financial, Earnings, World Market News and Information - CNBC.com"/>In truth, if you&#8217;ve been reading this blog, and the websites and books recommended here, you know this whole thing started years ago, lug-nuts beginning to loosen and slowly rotate without any change being noted by the vast majority of Americans. But, it&#8217;s hard to ignore the problem now.</p>
<p>The credit crisis has flared and is now building again in intensity. The stock market, when it opens today (in about an hour from this writing) will almost certainly crash, possibly big.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/indexes-fall-hard-bloody-friday/story.aspx?guid=BE84A9BF-11CC-4699-BBD4-610B9531D64C&#038;dist=SecEditorsPicks" target=_blank>The European and Japanese stock markets have &#8220;been mauled,&#8221;</a> on what could very well be known in the years that come as &#8220;Black Friday,&#8221; or maybe &#8220;Bloody Friday.&#8221; Whatever the case, it won&#8217;t be pretty.</p>
<p>This week has seen a LOT of building bad news. Unemployment projections are looking bad. The snowball of advertising cancellations for November and December, where advertisers cancel already placed advertising orders with radio and television stations and newspapers. Massive layoff talk has been out in the open this week. Despite the fact that oil prices are tumbling, and with them, the price of gas at the pump, economic activity is quickly winding down.</p>
<p>Also out in the open in the news this week, has been talk of state and local tax shortfalls. When there&#8217;s lower economic activity, tax revenues fall, and so the amount of money states and cities have to spend on services falls pretty fast. This causes <em>more</em> layoffs, and since in many areas, states and cities are high headcount employers, the problem spirals and can crash pretty quickly.</p>
<p>Which it is most certainly doing.</p>
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		<title>What Americans Don&#8217;t Know WILL Hurt Them</title>
		<link>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/10/what-americans-dont-know-will-hurt-them/</link>
		<comments>http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/2008/10/what-americans-dont-know-will-hurt-them/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Oct 2008 13:00:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MacLeod</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Armageddon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock market crash]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatcomesnext.net/wordpress/?p=323</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I must admit, I&#8217;ve been mystified by the reaction, or more accurately the lack of reaction by Americans with regard to our imploding economy. But I get it now, thanks to Dmitri Orlov&#8217;s excellent Reinventing Collapse: The Soviet Example and American Prospects. Orlov, an American with Russian roots, was able to watch the collapse of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://tbn0.google.com/images?q=tbn:-ZrndBxTQBpDtM:http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2276/2139287192_9f0ed18c81.jpg%3Fv%3D0" class="right">I must admit, I&#8217;ve been mystified by the reaction, or more accurately the <em>lack</em> of reaction by Americans with regard to our imploding economy. But I get it now, thanks to Dmitri Orlov&#8217;s excellent <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0865716064?ie=UTF8&#038;tag=whatcomesnext01-20&#038;linkCode=as2&#038;camp=1789&#038;creative=390957&#038;creativeASIN=0865716064">Reinventing Collapse: The Soviet Example and American Prospects</a><img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=whatcomesnext01-20&#038;l=as2&#038;o=1&#038;a=0865716064" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" />. Orlov, an American with Russian roots, was able to watch the collapse of the Soviet Union while visiting a number of times during that collapse.</p>
<p>At the height of the intensity of the bailout drama a couple weeks ago, I visited a nice, mid to upscale mall where I occasionally shop (I needed the Apple Store, my only consumerist passion). I was amazed that even though our economy was on the verge of meltdown with anyone who knew <em>anything</em> about what was going on tense and wondering how the next couple days were going to play out, the everyday consumers flowing around me in the mall seemed completely unaware that anything unusual was going on. I realize now that they weren&#8217;t <em>completely unaware of dramatic things going on,</em> they were simply <em>convinced that it wouldn&#8217;t affect them.</em> That&#8217;s a distinction that was lost on me that day, as the well-practiced credit-card presentation moves were displayed even as the Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson got down on one knee to beg Nancy Pelosi to pass the $750 Billion bailout bill.</p>
<p>I was comfortable spending a little money that day, because I have protected myself from short-term disruptions in the everyday workings of our economy. Having cash on-hand, safely stored along with enough food, water and household goods to easily weather a couple months disruption is something I recommend to anyone who asks my advice about what could possibly happen. But looking around, I realized that few, if any, of my fellow shoppers had protected themselves in that way.</p>
<p>Reading Orlov&#8217;s new book yesterday, I realized that we Americans are asleep about what could happen to us because we don&#8217;t believe anything catastrophic <em>could</em> happen to us. And that&#8217;s not a completely unreasonable assumption, since nothing bad <em>has</em> happened to us in almost 80 years. Plus, it&#8217;s been almost 150 years since war has been seen on our shores, as wars are something that Americans have to travel a long way to participate in. It&#8217;s been that way since the Civil War ended in 1865. Europe lives with that collective memory still relatively fresh. Even if Europeans haven&#8217;t lived through it first-hand, it&#8217;s a part of their history that&#8217;s closer to the surface.</p>
<p>We in America are living in one of the best-insulated pockets of comfort the world has ever seen, and <em>that</em> will make the troubles that are almost certainly coming much harder to deal with. The shock Americans will feel when the ATMs don&#8217;t work will be devastating. When the grocery shelves are cleared by those with a little cash on-hand, the panic will set in. Most people don&#8217;t plan for disruption because they don&#8217;t believe it is possible. Waking up to the realization that their assumptions in that regard aren&#8217;t true will be a difficult experience.</p>
<p>The alarm has most certainly gone off. The government is frantically doing what it can to keep hitting the snooze button, but when it&#8217;s morning, you can only do that for so long before waking can no longer be delayed.</p>
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