What Comes Next? » Posts for tag 'Stock market crash'

What Americans Don’t Know WILL Hurt Them

I must admit, I’ve been mystified by the reaction, or more accurately the lack of reaction by Americans with regard to our imploding economy. But I get it now, thanks to Dmitri Orlov’s excellent Reinventing Collapse: The Soviet Example and American Prospects. Orlov, an American with Russian roots, was able to watch the collapse of the Soviet Union while visiting a number of times during that collapse.

At the height of the intensity of the bailout drama a couple weeks ago, I visited a nice, mid to upscale mall where I occasionally shop (I needed the Apple Store, my only consumerist passion). I was amazed that even though our economy was on the verge of meltdown with anyone who knew anything about what was going on tense and wondering how the next couple days were going to play out, the everyday consumers flowing around me in the mall seemed completely unaware that anything unusual was going on. I realize now that they weren’t completely unaware of dramatic things going on, they were simply convinced that it wouldn’t affect them. That’s a distinction that was lost on me that day, as the well-practiced credit-card presentation moves were displayed even as the Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson got down on one knee to beg Nancy Pelosi to pass the $750 Billion bailout bill.

I was comfortable spending a little money that day, because I have protected myself from short-term disruptions in the everyday workings of our economy. Having cash on-hand, safely stored along with enough food, water and household goods to easily weather a couple months disruption is something I recommend to anyone who asks my advice about what could possibly happen. But looking around, I realized that few, if any, of my fellow shoppers had protected themselves in that way.

Reading Orlov’s new book yesterday, I realized that we Americans are asleep about what could happen to us because we don’t believe anything catastrophic could happen to us. And that’s not a completely unreasonable assumption, since nothing bad has happened to us in almost 80 years. Plus, it’s been almost 150 years since war has been seen on our shores, as wars are something that Americans have to travel a long way to participate in. It’s been that way since the Civil War ended in 1865. Europe lives with that collective memory still relatively fresh. Even if Europeans haven’t lived through it first-hand, it’s a part of their history that’s closer to the surface.

We in America are living in one of the best-insulated pockets of comfort the world has ever seen, and that will make the troubles that are almost certainly coming much harder to deal with. The shock Americans will feel when the ATMs don’t work will be devastating. When the grocery shelves are cleared by those with a little cash on-hand, the panic will set in. Most people don’t plan for disruption because they don’t believe it is possible. Waking up to the realization that their assumptions in that regard aren’t true will be a difficult experience.

The alarm has most certainly gone off. The government is frantically doing what it can to keep hitting the snooze button, but when it’s morning, you can only do that for so long before waking can no longer be delayed.

Posted in Economy, US
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